The 2023 Nigeria presidential election is a year away but betting odds are up for candidates like Atiku Abubakar (PDP), Bola Ahmed Tinubu (APC) and Peter Obi (Labour Party).
Who wins the 2023 Nigeria presidential election will be determined by voters in about a dozen battleground states from the North, West, South and East. Expect to see the campaigns of these 3 candidates paying a lot of attention to these areas.
For quite a number of older Nigerians and even the younger ones, they are counting Peter Obi out because of his choice of political party- Labour Party, and his less influence compared to his counterparts. We are here to tell you that you shouldn’t count him out! His odds have improved substantially since he blew his first speech at one of his political media rounds. That upward momentum is still in place, and if it continues at the same pace, the race could be too close on Election Day.
It is now a norm for The Former Governor of Anambra State, to be on the Twitter trend table. He trends more than any presidential aspirant on the social app. If the election was to be conducted today on Twitter, Obi will floor Atiku and Tinubu by a landslide. His social media movement is so strong and is buoyed by several Igbos, the youth population within and outside the country. Like we all know election is not won on Twitter or in any other social media platforms. The GOODNEWS is Peter Obi has also grown on a large number of citizens off and on the internet all thanks to the aggressive campaigns from fans.
We estimate that young people will turn out at a higher rate in 2023 than in 2019, to fight for a better Nigeria. The Soro-Soke generation don’t seem to be playing as they are doing everything in their power to get their PVC and vote for the right leader. So far, their impact and overwhelming support for Peter Obi is base on the belief he would be the right president for Nigeria. His past contributions to Nigeria and his intellects has garnered him such support.
Recall Peter Obi defected from the PDP to Labour Party when he knew that there was no way he could win the PDP’s presidential ticket, with the heavyweights in contest. He simply capitulated, bowed out of the party and pitched tent with a lower party. Presidential aspirants, such as Prof. Pat Utomi stepped down for him to emerge Labour Party’s Presidential candidate.
The Big question is, can Obi pull an uproar in next year’s presidential election? Although, he has an enormous social media movement but let’s look back to 2019. If election was to be conducted on social media, Atiku would have defeated President Muhammadu Buhari. The truth is, over 80 percent of Nigeria’s voters are not on social media — the market men & women, laymen & women, the uneducated, the locals and so on are the major voters.
Also, looking at a nation plagued with ethnicity and religion, Obi’s chances look slimmer.
Yes, we know Atiku and Tinubu are big names in the North, Southwest, South-South. Probably the votes in the east will be divided because the Igbos might end up not being united. The East has always been pro-PDP region apart from Anambra controlled by APGA. Currently, APC controls Imo and Ebonyi. In the South-South, which used to be dominated by PDP, APC now controls Cross River. Edo will be highly contested between PDP and APC.
Let’s face it! It looks like Peter Obi may not be able to upstage Tinubu and Atiku in these areas. BUT, are citizens going to look at the political party this time around or the presidential candidate who is best fit? To a number of Nigerians, Atiku and Tinubu are a no go! No aspirant should be voted for if they are not fit to rule an entire country and not because of a mere ‘party.’ This is another hurdle for Nigerians, to break the stereotypes on political parties and choose the best leader instead.
Peter Obi’s party affiliation is another problem he will have, Labour Party has never made impact in Nigeria’s political scene. In 2019, Labour Party took 30th position in the election and could only get 5,074 votes nationwide. However, with Obi’s influence, he surly will get way more votes.
Does he have the financial muzzle to upstage the big guns? His finances is also a big factor, as a lot of Nigerians have been and are bought with money. Are we really going to allow these people buy our future with just N2,000 again? Which is sadly less than $4. Even if it were millions of Naira, money is never enough but the hardship is a lot harder and long lasting. Let’s not be fooled AGAIN, do the needful and vote in the best.
Until the elections are over, the names of the foremost candidates of the 3 leading parties will continue to be on the lips of Nigerians.
We believe that Peter Obi is capable of springing surprises in 2023 presidential election and even win. While we wait for it, Who Do You think Will Be The Next Nigeria President — Atiku Abubakar, Bola Tinubu Or Peter Obi?